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SISO Market Pulse No. 002 Revised edition
Brazilians in Portugal in 2025: What the Official Data Show
First published in July 2026 · revised on 17 October 2026. The community kept growing in 2025, but slowly; airport refusals of Brazilians fell; voluntary returns are in the hundreds. What the data say, and what they do not.

Revised edition, 17 October 2026: figures checked against the official sources and data updated. See the revision notes.

In this issue
01 The community in numbers 02 Borders and enforcement in 2025 03 Voluntary return 04 What the data do not show 05 Planning checks 06 Sources

01 · The community in numbers

Two official sources count Brazilians in Portugal, and they differ. Both agree that Brazilians are the largest foreign community.

493,622
Brazilians with valid residence documents, 31 Dec 2025 (AIMA)
31.1% of 1,585,854 foreign residents
574,195
Brazilian residents, 2025 (INE estimate)
35.9% of 1,597,539 foreign residents
+106.5%
INE estimate, 2025 vs. 278,109 in 2021

AIMA counted 484,596 Brazilians at the end of 2024 and 493,622 at the end of 2025: 9,026 more, +1.9%. The community kept growing in 2025, but slowly. INE estimates that the number of foreign residents of all nationalities rose by 849,384 between 2021 and 2025.

Sources: AIMA, Relatório de Migrações e Asilo 2025 and 2024; INE, estimates of the resident population (22 June 2026), Brazilian figures as reported by PÚBLICO. AIMA counts valid residence documents; INE publishes a demographic estimate. We do not add or compare the two.

02 · Borders and enforcement in 2025

749
Brazilians refused entry at airports in 2025
▼ 49% vs. 1,470 in 2024
2,140
Foreigners of all nationalities refused entry
▲ 24% vs. 1,727 in 2024
23,133
Notifications to leave voluntarily (all nationalities)

Brazilians were still the largest group refused entry in 2025, but their number halved. The 23,133 notifications to leave voluntarily were issued by AIMA, the PSP and the GNR; AIMA describes the figure as a break from the downward trend of previous years. A notification to leave is not a removal. Until 21 August 2025, AIMA took 91 coercive removal decisions and opened 298 administrative expulsion proceedings; after that date the competence passed to the PSP's new national foreigners and borders unit.

Sources: RASI 2025 (Annual Internal Security Report), as reported by PÚBLICO on 3 April 2026; AIMA, Relatório de Migrações e Asilo 2025, section 3.

03 · Voluntary return

In 2025, AIMA recorded 567 requests for voluntary-return support and 342 foreign nationals who received it: 236 through the IOM programme (ARVoRe IX) and 106 through the European Union Reintegration Programme. That is roughly 2 people per 10,000 foreign residents. IOM Portugal says Brazilians are the nationality that applies most to its programme; the figures published by the press for Brazilians differ between reports, so we do not quote one.

Sources: AIMA, Relatório de Migrações e Asilo 2025, section 3.3; IOM Portugal, as reported by DN Brasil.

04 · What the data do not show

05 · Planning checks

A move to another country is a big decision, and these are points we see families underestimate in our own conversations (this is our experience, not a statistic):

— Health needs (specialist access, chronic conditions) not checked against what is available in the chosen municipality.
— School expectations set by photographs rather than by visiting or comparing options.
— Cost of living estimated from national averages rather than from the municipality and the lifestyle.
— The property chosen first, with community, routine and distance from family fitted around it afterwards.

The Readiness Index is a free six-question tool that cross-references your answers with public data for the municipalities in the dashboard and returns an indicative result, not advice. The dashboard shows prices, rents and coverage by municipality, each with its date and source.
Notice: general, educational information of a historical nature. It is not financial, legal, tax, immigration or investment advice. Rules and figures change: confirm with a qualified professional before deciding.

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06 · Sources

AIMA — Relatório de Migrações e Asilo 2025 (residents at 31 December 2025; notifications to leave; coercive removals; voluntary return).
AIMA — Relatório de Migrações e Asilo 2024 (residents at 31 December 2024).
INE — População residente atinge 11,4 milhões — 2025 (22 June 2026); Brazilian figures as reported by PÚBLICO, 22/06/2026.
RASI 2025 — as reported by PÚBLICO, 03/04/2026.
IOM Portugal — as reported by PÚBLICO, 24/01/2026.

Migration and tax matters change quickly. Figures reflect the sources as published; reverify before reuse. Checked on 17 October 2026.
Revision notes · 17 October 2026
This issue was first published in July 2026 under the title "Why So Many Are Leaving Portugal in 2025". On 17 October 2026 we checked every figure against the official documents and changed the title, because the data do not show an exodus. What changed:
  • Two official counts: the original showed only the INE estimate (574,195 Brazilians). We now also show AIMA's count of Brazilians with valid residence documents (493,622 at 31 December 2025). They measure different things and are not added.
  • Entry refusals: airport refusals of Brazilians fell 49% in 2025 (1,470 to 749), while refusals of all foreigners rose 24%. The wording about "record" refusals was removed.
  • Notifications to leave: the figure of about 23,000 refers to notifications to leave voluntarily (23,133, all nationalities), not to removals. We did not find the +5,080% in the official report, so it was removed.
  • Voluntary return: the official 2025 figures were added (567 requests; 342 supported). The wording about "record" returns was removed.
  • An unsourced claim was removed, and the Readiness Index is now described as giving an indicative result, not a recommendation.
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